Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-16 5.505594 6.021914 6.587116 7.255797 8.030600 8.906666 9.981589
2025-02-23 4.725879 5.432072 6.266543 7.341908 8.716359 10.451516 12.872188
2025-03-02 4.131972 4.894605 5.839520 7.126627 8.885510 11.290073 14.996033
2025-03-09 3.739765 4.531027 5.547383 6.993302 9.079644 12.131647 17.277107
2025-03-16 3.467247 4.280429 5.357135 6.947525 9.356238 13.107809 20.012465
2025-03-23 3.316161 4.169229 5.332936 7.117970 9.960524 14.696713 24.328499
2025-03-30 3.077254 3.914474 5.078875 6.910133 9.927169 15.197578 26.735886
2025-04-06 2.871484 3.688971 4.844739 6.701898 9.854195 15.600403 29.082270
2025-04-13 2.694376 3.491178 4.633927 6.505299 9.767797 15.952059 31.454748
2025-04-20 2.569302 3.359622 4.510592 6.434597 9.889280 16.733824 35.285310
2025-04-27 2.514086 3.325621 4.530822 6.599805 10.462269 18.588921 43.234070
2025-05-04 2.467886 3.301100 4.562243 6.784914 11.100763 20.771467 54.043615
2025-05-11 2.374224 3.206200 4.486224 6.794529 11.436733 22.461754 65.467170
2025-05-18 2.297605 3.134185 4.443925 6.865167 11.927044 24.777292 83.377725
2025-05-25 2.177931 2.987845 4.268403 6.669568 11.804198 25.371792 93.837362
2025-06-01 2.082353 2.874136 4.139372 6.548647 11.830251 26.430617 109.655028
2025-06-08 2.008668 2.791101 4.056187 6.507117 12.034080 28.141381 135.303578
2025-06-15 1.973306 2.767317 4.072119 6.661663 12.741117 31.898188 196.828162
2025-06-22 1.886027 2.654594 3.925775 6.473189 12.553090 32.354612 224.908607
2025-06-29 1.804632 2.548109 3.784741 6.284089 12.336838 32.644867 254.762256
2025-07-06 1.730124 2.450011 3.653604 6.105310 12.123566 32.890742 288.701170
2025-07-13 1.677276 2.385720 3.579581 6.040956 12.211375 34.473825 371.845114
2025-07-20 1.658350 2.377059 3.605061 6.191280 12.924182 39.318191 677.356167